Monday, July 18, 2011

Should Romero be traded?

I read a thread recently over at the Sportsnet forums wherein a fan suggested that Romero is overrated and shouldn't be projected as the team's next Ace.  If Ricky-Ro is indeed an overrated player, shouldn't it follow that now would be the best time to trade him?  Living up to the name of the blog (I am even less knowledgeable than my blogging co-hort), let's examine the case for (or against) trading Ricky Romero.


Let's make a deal!

Looking at Romero's stat line, his ERA is slightly less than his career average at the moment with a losing record (though of course, the W-L record isn't everything, right?).  So far this year, he's only earned 45 runs, good for roughly 10% of the runs allowed by the Jays this season.  His K/BB is 2.25:1, which doesn't look fantastic but it's not terrible (either way, it's more strikes than walks); and his WHIP is 1.26.  Overall, from my perspective, Romero's numbers indicate that he is giving the Blue Jays ample chance to win and not costing them any games.


Obviously he is highly-regarded, or else he wouldn't have been named to the All-Star team.  People are indeed looking past his sub-.500 W-L record and see that he has some pretty good numbers in a very tough AL East division.  The point of this blog post, however, is not to ask whether or not Romero is overrated as a player.  The question is: should he be traded now?


I think that's a complicated answer, and one that depends mostly on Romero's place within the organization and the direction of the Blue Jays overall.  Technically, now is the perfect time to trade Romero.  His perceived value is high, and the Jays would receive a nice bounty in return for him from any team willing to take him on.  They would quickly discover that in a few years Romero will slot in the 3 or 4 spot in the rotation, and that the Jays have fleeced them (maybe that's a bit of an overstatement).

However, I believe that Romero is definitely a part of the long-term Jays plans.  I don't think that he will figure in as an Ace pitcher as some may think, instead fitting in as a #3 starter.  I don't know who in the Jays organization would land ahead of Ricky, but I think that's where he'll end up.  While it would be beneficial now to cash in for high-end players/prospects, that would just end up weakening the starting rotation. 

I'm cautiously optimistic that the Blue Jays have some of the pieces to put together a good run for the post-season in the near-future, and they're going to need to hold on to Romero - whether he projects as an Ace starter or falls down to the #3 spot.

2 comments:

  1. They need to hold on to Romero if the plan is to contend in the next couple years. At the moment he's not a #1 starter, but he's a solid #2 and one of the best left handed pitchers in the AL. Trading Romero would net a good package of prospects, but it would also be a step backwards in progress for the Jays.

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  2. I agree, the benefits of keeping Romero far outweigh anything we could get back for him.

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